Sunday, August 19, 2012

Tin Foil Hats



Last night I wound up in a several hour long distance phone conversation with an old high school buddy. I have not seen him in many years, and though we stay in touch, I had not spoken with him in many months.  The conversation began innocently, discussing the current status of old friends and our own social and economic situations.  As the subject turned to politics, I began to realize that my old friend had embraced some radical ideas. 

He is a very intelligent man, and has always been fairly moderate politically in his beliefs.  I spent most of the conversation trying to ferret out how he came to his viewpoints, what his sources for his ideas were, and most important I think: The reason he, or anyone of similar character, is embracing such stuff.

The exploration of this topic began as my friend described the economic situation of the Northern California town where he and I grew up and went to school.  His description was disheartening: businesses shuttered, unemployment rampant, crime (including home invasions) way up.  He talked about the streets being unsafe, with street gangs roaming everywhere.  All this social and economic decay in a town I recall primarily as a middle class bedroom community.  He talked about being personally trapped in his own seemingly hopeless economic circumstances.  He described his situation as being in a cage.

It was then he made a comment that made my jaw drop.  I had asked him about his plans for the future and what he was going to do to move forward.  His reply was “It doesn’t matter.  The world banking system and the government are all going to collapse in a few months anyway and I have enough guns and ammo to hold the lawless hoards off for a while”.  He didn’t say this sarcastically or metaphorically.  He really meant it

My friend has always been a gun enthusiast.  I recall many years ago going out in the country with him on numerous occasions to do target shooting.  This interest, along with his internet skills (which are substantial), had led him eventually onto blogs posted by fringe groups and militias, many of which actively desire the downfall of the US government and the world economic system.  Some of these groups are purely anarchist in nature, while others have xenophobic and racist overtones.  To be clear:  I do not believe my friend (who like me is Caucasian) has a racist bone in his body.  He does however have a lot of frustration with non-English speaking Hispanics that now make up a considerable portion of the population of his hometown. 

These fringe websites and blogs told him something that he really wanted to hear.  They told him that his circumstances are in no way his own fault.  They told him that his situation is the product of a conspiracy by rich people, banks, and the government aimed at repressing him and those like him.  They gave him someone to blame other than himself.

We went through a number of the conspiracy theories that are current with these groups, all of which I am satisfied I was able to debunk.  Most importantly, I was able to get my friend to question the efficacy of these theories.  Questioning facts and sources of everything reported in the media or online is essential to exposing lies, spin, and hypocrisy.  Radicalism thrives when you unquestioningly believe things that affirm your own emotional attachment to a cause or issue.  To keep centered on any subject, you must always doubt, you must always be able to ask yourself: “is it possible that what I believe is wrong?”

At this point, I should articulate my viewpoint on conspiracy theories.  They usually appeal to an emotional need to believe a particular viewpoint and are seldom backed by thoroughly convincing data, thus the term “theories”.  I don’t find evidence for bigfoot or alien autopsies very compelling.  I don’t think the government has crashed flying sauces stored at Area 51 or Wright-Patterson AFB.  I think John Kennedy was most likely shot by Lee Harvey Oswald acting alone and Robert Kennedy was most likely shot by Sirhan Sirhan acting alone.  My reasoning for all this is uncomplicated.  I find the argument known as Occam’s Razor to be compelling:  When offered competing hypotheses, by far the most likely is the one which makes the fewest assumptions.  All the conspiracy theories I just mentioned do have well known alternative explanations, but when unbiased light is shined brightly on the known facts, the less convoluted explanations seem far more plausible.

My conversation with my old friend covered a wide range of conspiracies.  The first was birtherism, the belief that President Barack Obama is somehow not an American.  My friend was familiar with the arguments of Arizona sheriff Joe Arpaio, and his contention that the president’s birth certificate is a forgery.  I pointed out that his recent contentions have been thoroughly refuted by the state of Hawaii and even Arizona governor Jan Brewer, who is well known for her dislike of the president.  Her position was reported in the March 6, 2012 edition of the Phoenix area newspaper, the East Valley Tribune.

The conversation went further into the weeds from there.  My friend stated that the United States was made a corporation by the “Act of 1871” which made it a wholly owned subsidiary of the Bank of England and the Rothschild family.  While I did find articles about this on some conspiracy websites, finding the source document itself was more of a challenge.  Eventually I found that this theory was based on an otherwise non-descript law passed that year that detailed somewhat how the process the US government can use to collect debts should work.  They were making an amazing stretch of logic to construe that this somehow made the US government beholden to the huge banking interests of the time.  It reminded me of an episode of the animated show Southpark, where underwear gnomes were stealing underwear from dryers to somehow make a profit.  The process to achieve the end result was not comprehendible to anyone except these gnomes.

My friend then brought up a story about multi-billionaire George Soros selling off ALL of his stock to buy gold so he could weather the coming economic collapse.  This is proof he said of this eminent catastrophe.  Again the sources were a variety of militia and conspiracy sites, and can be easily googled.  My research found that Earlier this year Soros had spoken about gold in a negative light, stating at the time that gold was artificially high.  Indeed his statement alone may have caused gold prices to stabilize or even go down slightly.  More recently, he sold $130 million in stock and bought gold with it.  Not his entire $20 billion portfolio, mind you, but 1/150th of it.  This is a substantial sum, but not unprecedented.  Simply buying gold negated the effect of his previous statement and the purchase caused the price of gold to rise.  There is no data on whether he held this position or sold it.  He could have sold all that gold in hours or days.  He would have made $1.3 million on that sale for every 1% increase in the price of gold his actions caused.  I find this profit motive far more compelling then the conspiracy claim that he was preparing for some bizarre coming “economic Armageddon”.

The conversation later turned to a lawsuit filed by a man named Neil Keenan.  The lawsuit itself seems to be real, but I found myself questioning the factual basis for it.  The conspiracy consists of the idea that all the world's gold is somehow actually controlled by the family of the former dictator of Indonesia, Suharto, and that he was a just a controlling entity for the actual owner, a shadowy group from China known as the “Dragon Family”.  The gold was stolen by European banks and the US Federal Reserve somehow through shadowy dealings with the Vatican Illuminati (isn't "Vatican" and "Illuminati" contradictory terms?).  Is your BS filter going off?  I know mine was, but somehow my intelligent friend was buying all this.  He wants these “government/federal reserve/banker /rich people/ bastards” to pay for their sins.  He belived that this suit would bring about the downfall of the entire banking system and somehow usher in a new “golden age” by doing so.  He wants this so badly that he was willing to believe even this convoluted tale.

The Neil Keenan suit as best as I can tell is real.  It’s the basis of reality for its facts that I question.  For transparency sake here is a conspiracy site source:    http://www.fourwinds10.net/siterun_data/government/judicial_and_courts/news.php?q=1336095731

Here is a more detailed and better written explanation.  I can’t speak for the editorial bent of this site either way, though I strongly suspect a “conspiracy sympathetic” bent:  http://www.courthousenews.com/2011/12/05/41930.htm

That website link above is dated from December of 2011, so I sought more updated info on the lawsuit and found this:

This article, besides stating the suit had been withdrawn, extensively discusses the work of one Benjamin Fulford in substantiating the suit’s claims.  I wanted to therefore know who Fulford is, and quickly found his bio on Wikipedia:

This Wikipedia article states in part that “After the 2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami, Fulford claimed on Japanese television that "[t]he American government in cooperation with [the] Federal Reserve, the Rockefellers, and other powerful groups, they are planning the eruption of Mt. Fuji Volcano”.  OK.  I’m done.  We are into the tin foil hat country of alien abductions and Illuminati.  I can’t accept anything this guy says with a straight face, and no intelligent well grounded person should.  If this is the best quality of support Neil Keenan can get for this convoluted and withdrawn lawsuit, I must allow this to be the final straw.  He too is most likely in the tin foil hat business.

My point in giving this stuff attention is that there are a great number of disaffected Americans who want a scapegoat for their issues.  They aren’t taught to be skeptical and to question sources.  If they are told something that gives them comfort, they believe it with all their hearts.  There is a lot of anger out there, and these conspiracy folks are working hard to tap into that anger through convoluted stories that seem to explain how the powers of the world are screwing the little guy.  I don’t have an answer for how to combat this.  My best suggestion is that the mainstream media outlets like Fox, CNN and MSNBC should discuss the most popular crackpot theories on a regular basis, using the time to explain in detail why these things are just not true.  they need to expose who is originating this stuff, and explain exactly what motivates them to spread this venom.